Wags Wager Week 3: September 14th 2018

Welcome to the Wags Wager weekly column!  Each week this football season, I will be picking out seven games, including the Wager of the Week, that are going to make myself, and my followers a few bucks this football season.  These picks will be a mixture of College and NFL games.  All my spreads that I will use throughout the season will be found on MyBookie.ag

Kansas City Chiefs (+4.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers

I am all in on the Kansas City Chiefs bandwagon, and the Pittsburgh Steelers just tied the Cleveland Browns.  The Steelers just had their “what the fuck was that” game, but the problem that will not be solved is Le’Veon Bell.  Bell unlocks the Steelers offense and his absence will be felt each week he decides not to return.  Big Ben is also nursing an elbow injury which is never a great thing.  I think the Chiefs win this game outright, and lots of Steelers hot takes will start to surface.  Let’s go!

New York Giants (+3) at Dallas Cowboys

The Giants, particularly Eli Manning, got a ton of shit last week for losing to the Jaguars and only scoring 15 points with their loaded offense.  News flash—The Jags might have the best defense in the NFL, and the Giants defense only gave up 13 points.  On the flip side, the Cowboys struggled to move the ball against an average Panthers defense, and the whole “Dak Prescott can’t throw” thing is going to be a problem all season long.  The Cowboys defense will be a much easier matchup for the Giants’ superstars, and I do not see the Cowboys putting up big offensive numbers when the offensive line is still struggling with injuries.  The best run stuffer in the NFL, Snacks Harrison, is going to give Zeke Elliott all he can handle.  I like the Giants in this game, and I’ll take the three points all day long.

Hawaii at Army (-6.5)

Hawaii is playing a noon game (6am Hawaiian time) against an Army team that runs the triple option.  Sounds like a recipe for disaster for me.

Oklahoma at Iowa State (+17.5)

Iowa State upset the Sooners last year, and while I do not think they will pull it off again, the Iowa State fan base is going to be fired up for their Super Bowl against the best team in the Big 12.  David Montgomery had trouble getting going last week against Iowa, but it will be hard for him not to get up for this one.  Oklahoma started the season with two very manageable games against FAU and UCLA.  This will be the first real test for quarterback Kyler Murray.  Oklahoma wins by two scores, but Iowa State covers.

Vanderbilt (+13.5) at Notre Dame

This game has a Notre Dame wins by a field goal feel to it.  Notre Dame was impressive against Michigan week one but had a hard time against Ball State, winning by only eight.  This Vanderbilt team is the best one since James Franklin departed for Happy Valley, and I think they will give the Fighting Irish all they can handle.  +13.5 is too many points, and I am taking the Commodores to cover.

South Florida (-11) at Illinois

Charlie Strong may not have worked out in Texas, but so far, so good in Tampa.  The Bulls continue to carry over last season’s success with a big win against Georgia Tech last week.  If this game was in November, I would feel much different about a Florida team going north.  Illinois is a bad football team, and the weather is still warm up here in the Midwest, so I believe the Bulls will come away with a 20+ point victory.

Wager of the Week

Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) at Tampa Bay Bucs

The Eagles looked slightly hung over on offense in their season opener win against the Falcons, but that was most likely due to the Super Bowl ceremony, the weather delay, and it was week one of the NFL season.  The defense, however, looked to carry over their energy from last season and neutralizing a great Falcons offense.  The Bucs, on the other hand, were very much the opposite.  They came out on fire on offense, dropping 48 points against a Saints defense that impressed many last season.  The Bucs also gave up 40 points, which goes has not been mentioned nearly as much as it should because of “FitzMagic.”  The Eagles front seven is the best in football, and the Bucs offensive line has many holes.  The Bucs will be missing their top two cornerbacks this week, and Nick Foles will have all sorts of room to torch the Bucs secondary, like what Drew Brees last week.  I think the Bucs come back to earth this week, and the Eagles win this game going away.

Last Week: 5-2 ATS

Season: 6-7 ATS

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