Wags Wager Week 6: October 5th, 2018

Welcome to the Wags Wager weekly column!  Each week this football season, I will be picking out seven games that are going to make myself, and my followers a few bucks this football season.  These picks will be a mixture of College and NFL games.  All my spreads that I will use throughout the season will be found on MyBookie.ag

Iowa (-7) at Minnesota

Betting on the Iowa Hawkeyes is never fun, but when they only have to win by a touchdown against a team that lost to a mediocre Maryland team in their last game at home by 29 points, it is hard not going crazy for this line.  There is a chance that Iowa’s star TE Noah Fant covers the spread against the Gophers by himself.  Iowa by double digits.

Oklahoma at Texas (+7)

Although Texas has not been the same team since Mack Brown retired, the Red River Rivalry always brings out the best of the Longhorns.  After Texas lost week one against Maryland, the Longhorns look like a completely different team.  I will not say they are back yet by any means, but I think they’ll keep this game close.  Oklahoma has one of the best offenses in the nation, led by potential Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray, but Army showed that this team isn’t invincible.  The crowd in Austin is going to be a huge factor, and I think this game comes down to a two-minute drill for Sam Ehlinger.  That will be good enough to cover the spread.

Nebraska at Wisconsin (-17)

Wisconsin is coming off a much-needed bye week.  The previous two weeks for the Badgers resulted in a heartbreaking loss to BYU at home, and a hard-fought victory against Iowa at Kinnick Stadium.  The players and coaches needed a week to decompress and prepare for the rest of the grueling season.  Nebraska is a nice little warmup before their showdown with the Michigan Wolverines in Madison.  I believe this team learned their lesson from BYU not to overlook an inferior team before a big-time game.  Badgers win this by 20+.

Ravens (-3) at Browns

The Browns covered the spread for the first three weeks of the season.  Some sportsbooks had the Browns at +3 and some at +2.5 (shout out MyBookie) last week, so depending on who you talk to, the Browns are undefeated against the spread.  That changes this week.  The Ravens are a good football team this year.  Joe Flacco feels Lamar Jackson right behind him, and his play has shown that he is not ready to move cities quite yet.  The defense shutdown the Steelers last week in Pittsburgh and should give Baker Mayfield his toughest matchup thus far.  The Browns are coming off their third major disappointment on the football field in four weeks.  I could see this being the week where everything unwinds for Cleveland and the team loses by 20+.  Ravens -3 is a steal and I have no shame of making a few bucks off it.

Broncos (PK) at Jets

I cannot believe this game is a pick’em.  The Broncos are a much more talented team than the Jets.  Nothing the Jets have done this season constitutes them being even with a team that has a top ten defense in this league with lots of offensive playmakers.  This line does not make sense to me.  The Jets are a dumpster fire.  Give me Case Keenum and the Broncos all day long.

Packers (PK) at Lions

The Lions have been Aaron Rodgers’ bitch for his whole career.  That does not change on Sunday. Pick’em?  Lol.

Cardinals (+4) at 49ers

After a rough first two weeks of the Cardinals season, the team has finally decided to show up and play football.  The Bears avoided a major upset in Arizona in week three, and it took a last second field goal by Sebastian Janikowski for the Seahawks to squeak by the Cardinals in Josh Rosen’s first NFL start.  I think this is the week the Cards break through and get their first win of the season.  The 49ers are coming off an emotional defeat against a good Chargers team, one game after Jimmy G blew out his knee, which ended his season.  There was a lot put into the game last week, and a letdown seems very likely against a Cardinals team that is desperate for their first win of the 2018 season.  I think Arizona gets the win outright, and Rosen gets his first victory as an NFL quarterback.

Last Week: 5-2 ATS

Season: 17-17 ATS

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